Canada Won't Let Politics Trump Energy Needs
Canada's energy landscape is more complex than often assumed, and this complexity undermines claims that an independent Alberta would be cut off from Canadian markets.
According to University of Alberta law professor Andrew Leach, if Alberta were to become a new country, the rest of Canada might look elsewhere for oil and gas supplies. However, in reality, the transportation network for oil and gas in North America is highly integrated, making it unlikely that Canada would suddenly start buying from other countries.
The majority of Alberta's oil exports pass through the United States before reaching Eastern Canada. Any attempt by Canada to embargo Alberta's oil would require significant infrastructure changes, including rebuilding its refining and distribution systems. This would be a costly and time-consuming process, taking decades to complete.
Canada already imports hundreds of millions of barrels of oil from countries like Saudi Arabia, Nigeria, and Colombia, often choosing foreign sources over domestic ones due to economic considerations. The country also relies heavily on US natural gas supplies, with most Eastern Canada's gas coming from the US.