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Canada's Energy Security in Jeopardy Amid US Trade Tensions

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Canada's reliance on imported natural gas from the United States has raised concerns about energy security amidst rising trade tensions. Ontario and Quebec obtain roughly two-thirds of their natural gas from the US, primarily from the Marcellus and Utica formations in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and West Virginia.

The Canada Energy Regulator reports that the US exports nearly three billion cubic feet of natural gas per day into Canada, with approximately 90% entering Ontario and Quebec. This accounts for about two-thirds of the natural gas consumed in the two provinces, according to Dulles Wang, a Calgary-based director with Wood Mackenzie's natural gas and LNG research team.

Wang noted that this cross-border arrangement made economic sense in the past due to geography and cost. However, some political and industry leaders see it as a strategic vulnerability in an era of tariffs and unpredictable trade policy.

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has argued that Western Canadian producers could once again supply a larger share of Eastern Canada's natural gas requirements. 'If they were able to get 100% of their gas from us before, they can do it again,' she said.

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