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Commodities

Central Banks Ditch Treasuries for Gold Amid Rising Counterparty Risk

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Central banks worldwide are quietly shifting their reserve portfolios away from US Treasuries and towards gold, driven by growing concerns over counterparty risk. This seismic shift is a deliberate reappraisal of what a reserve asset needs to do in today's geopolitically charged environment.

The post-Bretton Woods era established the dollar as the world's default reserve currency, with US Treasuries becoming the go-to instrument for central banks. However, this arrangement was always premised on a core assumption: that the US would not weaponize the dollar infrastructure against sovereign actors.

That assumption was shattered in 2022 when Western nations froze $300 billion in Russian assets following the Ukraine invasion. Reserve managers worldwide absorbed a critical lesson: holdings denominated in another sovereign's currency carry a form of political risk that cannot be ignored.

The World Gold Council has reported a marked increase in central bank preference for domestically vaulted gold over foreign-held Treasuries. Emerging market economies, including China, India, Poland, and Turkey, have been driving this reallocation with sustained multi-year accumulation strategies.

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