Central Banks' Gold Buying Boosts These Stocks
Central banks are quietly accumulating gold, buying around 1,000 tonnes per year. This steady official demand, combined with geopolitical anxiety and London's strengthened role as a key storage hub, is reshaping the gold market.
The mix of these factors has led to three stocks emerging as interesting plays: Hochschild Mining (LSE:HOC), Triple Flag Precious Metals (TSX:TFPM), and Serabi Gold (AIM:SRB).
Hochschild Mining, a London-based precious metals producer, operates mines in Peru and supplies customers across Europe, the Americas, and Asia. It generates most of its revenue from two major operations: Inmaculada ($840.9 million) and San Jose ($582.8 million). Its market cap is £3.41 billion.
The company offers direct leverage to bullion prices through producing assets rather than fee-based custody income. Recent results show higher sales and earnings, a stronger dividend, and a P/E that analysts see as implying room for repricing. However, execution risk on new mines, exposure to Peru and Argentina, and reliance on external borrowing are significant hazards.
Triple Flag Precious Metals, a Toronto-based streaming and royalty company, finances mines in exchange for a share of future gold production. Its revenue comes from metals and mining streaming and royalty portfolio focused on gold and other precious metals, with underlying production exposure spread across various countries. The company's market cap is CA$9.81 billion.
Triple Flag Precious Metals offers exposure to central bank-driven gold demand without taking on full mine development risk. Recent results show higher revenue, cash flow, and EBITDA alongside a larger dividend and active buybacks, all underpinned by more than US$1.1 billion of available liquidity.
Serabi Gold, a UK-based miner, explores, develops, and operates gold and copper projects in Brazil. Its market cap is £225.5 million. The company provides exposure to central bank-driven gold demand through producing and developing Brazilian assets while still being listed in a major market.