Fed's Hawkish Stance Sends Gold Prices Paring Rally
The Federal Reserve's decision to leave interest rates unchanged for a fifth consecutive meeting has led to a re-evaluation of its hawkish stance, causing gold and silver prices to pare their post-Fed rally. Despite this, precious metals remain resilient, with spot gold trading at $4079 per ounce and silver easing to $58.09 after jumping as high as $59.23 immediately following the policy announcement.
The surge in long-term bond yields, particularly the 19-year high US 30-year Treasury yield of 5.2%, is a cause for concern, according to Robert Sockin, chief US economist at PGIM. However, analysts also point out that gold has historically stabilized and moved higher once a tightening cycle begins.
Nicky Shiels, head of metals strategy at MKS Pamp, expects relief rallies in 'overly shorted' asset classes such as precious metals until the September FOMC meeting or at least until Jackson Hole at the end of August. Ole Hansen, commodity strategist at Saxo Bank, agrees that growing concerns about fiscal sustainability and questions surrounding the Fed's policy credibility provide increasingly supportive longer-term fundamentals for gold.