Gold, Silver Prices Poised to Surge as Market Narrative Crumbles
Stewart Thomson, a retired Merrill Lynch broker and publisher of Graceland Updates, has analyzed the current market narrative surrounding gold, silver, and mining stocks. According to him, this narrative is flawed as it links high oil prices and rising interest rates to lower gold prices.
The 1973 OPEC oil crisis saw gold and US rates surge together, contradicting today's prevailing view, Thomson argues. He expects the $40 trillion US government debt to reach $50 trillion and possibly $100 trillion through excessive money printing, driving up rates. Higher rates increase interest costs for the government, further pressuring the false narrative.
Thomson predicts that gold, rates, and oil will eventually surge together, reflecting a 40-year US stagflation cycle. For gold, he sees all scenarios favoring bulls, with a potential pullback halting in the $4,200-$4,100 zone, creating a right shoulder for an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern targeting $4,800-$5,000.
The CDNX index, a leading indicator for miners, shows a bull flag with a vertical flagpole, indicating a potential rocket launch. Thomson advises citizens to convert mining stock profits into physical gold and suggests that the US government adopt a gold-backed currency with no corporate or income taxes and bank secrecy, akin to Monaco.