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Houthi Maritime Embargo Disrupts Saudi Oil Exports

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Saudi Arabia is facing increased pressure from Iran-backed Houthi rebels who have declared a maritime embargo against the country. The Houthis, who have been supported by Iran, claim that their actions are aimed at disrupting Saudi Arabia's oil exports and pressuring the US to de-escalate its conflict with Iran.

The Houthis have also warned shipping companies against loading or discharging cargo at Saudi ports, threatening military targeting if they do so. They have claimed missile and drone attacks on Aramco Red Sea facilities in Jizan and Yanbu, as well as the Eastern Region and Riyadh.

The energy market has reacted to the escalation by increasing war-risk premiums over 200%, from roughly 0.3% to 1%. Shipping insurers have also frozen sales of war cargo insurance to Saudi-linked ships in the theatre, while several tankers have paused or reversed course towards the Suez Canal.

The Houthis' motives are seen as both external and internal. Externally, they seek to improve Iran's bargaining position by disrupting regional trade and demonstrating that Tehran still retains high-impact escalation options. Internally, they aim to restore coercive leverage over Riyadh and frame the conflict as one between them and Saudi Arabia rather than between an armed rebel group and the Yemeni government.

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