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Houthi Threats Spark Global Oil Supply Crisis

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The Houthi movement in Yemen has threatened Saudi Arabia's oil exports from its West Coast, exacerbating an already precarious global supply situation. The monthslong near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz has caused unprecedented supply tightness, and attacks on Saudi upstream and downstream facilities have complicated west-east export logistics.

According to data from ship tracker Kpler, between July 21-29, only three Saudi crude cargoes crossed Bab al-Mandeb, totaling 3.6 million barrels. This is down from an average of around 15 cargoes per week prior to the latest escalation of Houthi-Saudi tensions.

Total Saudi deliveries of crude, refined products, and LPG via the strait have plummeted from around 3.8 million barrels per day on a weekly basis prior to the Houthi blockade to 1.4 million b/d during the week starting July 20. Non-Saudi flows through the strait have also slowed, with no shipments of Russian crude to Asia or Indian refined products to Europe crossing since July 18.

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