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Commodities

Natural Gas Faces Severe Institutional Supply Wall at $3.45

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Natural Gas
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Natural Gas (NG1!) is displaying an aggressive recovery structure on the Daily chart. After successfully defending the macro horizontal demand floor at $2.476 in late April, the asset established a sequence of higher lows and activated a structural bullish pivot, breaking above the March and May local peaks.

As price action attempts to expand deeper into the Fibonacci framework, a severe structural convergence zone is looming directly ahead: Horizontal Resistance sits firmly at $3.422; the crucial 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level is exactly at $3.424; and the long-term 200 EMA baseline is currently tracking right at $3.446.

The recent daily candle that spiked toward the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($3.362) left a prominent upper rejection wick (selling tail), followed by immediate downside closes into early June. This confirms that institutional sellers are actively defending the approaches to the $3.42 - $3.45 cluster.

The strategic and macro outlook suggests a multi-phase technical sequence: short-term momentum is undergoing a healthy mean-reversion pull-back, and once liquidity is re-accumulated, a renewed drive will test the triple resistance wall (EMA 200 + 0.618 Fibo + 3.422 Horizontal). A daily candle acceptance above $3.450 is mandatory to unlock the extended upside projections toward 1.618 ($3.949) and 2.618 ($4.474).

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