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Oil Prices Plummet as US-Iran Hostilities Pause

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Oil prices plummeted on Monday following the United States' halt of strikes against Iran and Tehran's reciprocal pause in hostilities over the weekend. West Texas Intermediate crude settled at $83.75 per barrel, a decline of more than 6% from the previous day, while Brent crude dipped to $86.73.

The Strait of Hormuz remains closed, leaving the market highly sensitive to any new developments that could trigger a reversal in either direction. Analysts describe the current pause as a 'ceasefire premium' removal.

Over the past month, WTI has surged 20.8%, and its year-to-date gain stands at 45.7% driven by conflict-related factors. The market is now pricing roughly 50/50 odds on resolution versus re-escalation, with a potential for renewed conflict already present.

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