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Oil Prices Soar Above $107 as Geopolitical Tensions Escalate

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Brent crude oil prices surged above $107 a barrel on Thursday, driven by escalating disruption around the Strait of Hormuz and the wider U.S.-Iran conflict. This has restricted Gulf crude flows and increased fears that global supply could tighten further.

The move was significant, as Brent had briefly touched $108 earlier in the week before profit-taking pulled prices back to around $104. However, the rally resumed, with Brent extending its gains to nearly $109.62 on September 11.

According to analysts, this latest oil shock has added another layer of pressure on central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve. The US producer inflation accelerated to 5.4% year-over-year in August, up from 4.8%, while energy prices at the producer level jumped 4.2%. This has pushed markets towards a more hawkish Fed outlook.

Higher crude prices feed into gasoline, freight, manufacturing, and airline costs, complicating the inflation picture even if core price pressures begin to cool. The concern is already visible in rates, with the US 10-year Treasury yield climbing to around 4.95%, while the 30-year yield reached 5.36%, its highest level since 2004.

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