Russia's Grain Export Potential Hinges on Logistical Constraints
Russia's grain export potential may be difficult to realize in the upcoming marketing year due to logistical constraints, experts warn. The country's grain market analysts estimate that Russia's grain export potential will reach between 53.8 and 58.5 million tons in the 2026/27 marketing year, with wheat exports expected to account for a significant portion of this total.
The Institute for Agricultural Market Studies (IKAR) has estimated Russia's grain export potential at 58.5 million tons, including 44.5 million tons of wheat. However, IKAR Director General Dmitry Rylko clarified that these estimates only represent the country's export potential and not actual exports.
Other experts, such as Vladimir Petrichenko, CEO of ProZerno, concur with this assessment. According to Petrichenko, Russia's wheat export potential stands at 44.2 million tons, corn at nearly 5 million tons, and barley at 4.6 million tons.