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Commodities

Silver's Peak Price Trap: How FOMO Wrecks Investor Returns

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The silver market saw an unusually large influx of investor money in January 2026, with ₹11,761 crore pouring into silver ETFs. This was the largest monthly inflow on record and arrived at the exact peak price.

This surge in investor demand is a classic example of how fear of missing out (FOMO) can turn a rally into a trap. As prices rose, more and more investors jumped into the market, even as the returns available from current prices became increasingly lower than the overall market return.

The market return for silver over the one-year period was 98%, but the average investor's money-weighted return was only 18%. This disparity is a direct result of FOMO driving investors to buy in at the peak price, rather than waiting for more attractive entry points. In fact, 56% of the money invested in silver ETFs during the preceding 12 months was sitting on a loss as of July 31, 2026.

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