Turkey Diversifies Energy Supply with Azerbaijan and US LNG Amid Ongoing Dependence on Russian Gas

Turkey is seeking to break its reliance on Russian energy by diversifying its supply network. The country has signed a 15-year deal with Azerbaijan for 33 billion cubic meters of natural gas, ensuring stable supplies until the mid-2040s.

The agreement pairs long-term Eurasian pipeline diplomacy with an unprecedented expansion of liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure, backed by the US. Turkish officials have acknowledged their country's deep dependency on Russian gas and are now pursuing alternative supplies to reduce this reliance.

Russia remains Turkey's largest supplier, but its share has fallen from 63.9% in 2006 to 41.3% in 2024. US LNG imports surged to 16% of the total import market in 2025, capturing nearly half of Russia's former market share.

Turkey's domestic natural gas production is expected to meet 30% of national consumption by 2030, further reducing its reliance on Russian gas. Ankara's bargaining position vis-à-vis Moscow may strengthen as the EU sets a target for banning Russian gas imports by September 2027.