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US Energy Cushion Faces New Stress Test as Middle East Tensions Rise

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Oil Natural Gas
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The US energy cushion is facing a new stress test as Middle East tensions rise again. The country's ability to withstand external supply shocks has improved significantly, thanks to its position as the world's largest producer of oil and natural gas.

However, the latest escalation involving Iran and the Houthis comes at a particularly sensitive moment. The US energy system is already under strain due to record electricity demand, peak summer fuel consumption, growing data-centre load, and persistent reliance on gas-fired generation.

The key question now is whether production is expanding fast enough to stay ahead of demand. Traders, utilities, and policymakers are closely monitoring a handful of key indicators, including domestic crude oil production, natural gas output, electricity generation, refinery throughput, and gasoline supply.

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