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US Sanctions Package Rocks Indian Economy with Crude Price Surge

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The US Treasury's latest sanctions package has raised concerns about its impact on India's economy and trade. The new restrictions widen the scope of secondary penalties to include digital assets, technology, gold, aviation, and shipping.

Analysts suggest that India's primary vulnerability lies in the secondary effects of these sanctions, rather than direct trade losses. These effects include elevated crude prices, higher freight and insurance expenses, constrained payment routes, and fresh depreciation pressure on the rupee.

India has already halted its purchases of Iranian crude, but the principal concern is how global oil markets will respond if Iranian exports shrink further. China, which absorbs most of Iran's barrels, may intensify competition for Russian and other alternative supplies, thereby lifting costs for Indian refiners.

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