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AI Acceleration Sparks Alarm at Federal Reserve

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The Federal Reserve's chair has sounded an alarm about the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI). Fed Chair Kevin Warsh used his keynote speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28 to express concern that AI is moving faster than even its most optimistic proponents predicted. He described the current moment as a 'hinge point in history,' a phrase that carries significant weight given his position of influence over US monetary policy.

The numbers behind Warsh's warning are striking. Business capital expenditure growth reached approximately 9% over the trailing four quarters, with more than half of this spending directed towards AI infrastructure, including data centers, chips, and computing backbones for large language models. Token sales for leading AI labs reportedly topped $100 billion, a 500% increase from the previous year.

The Fed has taken notice of these developments. AI references have appeared at least 18 times in recent FOMC minutes, with policymakers weighing the potential benefits of increased productivity against concerns about financial stability risks. The central bank has also established a dedicated task force to assess how AI is reshaping the labor market and output potential of the US economy.

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