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Bitcoin Breakthrough Fuels Surge in Microstrategy Shares

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Strategy Inc., formerly Microstrategy (MSTR), shares saw a significant increase of over 12% on Thursday as Bitcoin broke above the $80,000 level. This surge in the cryptocurrency lifted investor sentiment towards the company, which is often seen as a leveraged equity proxy for Bitcoin due to its large holdings.

The rally came despite mixed signals from Wall Street, with Bernstein lowering its price target for Strategy to $350 from $450 while maintaining an Outperform rating. However, Canaccord analyst Joseph Vafi raised his price target on Strategy to $175 from $130 and maintained a Buy rating.

Bernstein's reduced price target was attributed to an updated Bitcoin cycle timeline and faster-than-expected equity dilution from share sales. Despite this, the analysts remain bullish on Bitcoin over the longer term, expecting it to reach $150,000 by mid-2027 and around $300,000 at the peak of its next cycle in 2029.

The company's strengthened balance sheet provides about 3.9 years of cash coverage for annual interest and preferred dividend obligations, according to Bernstein. This, combined with continued Bitcoin strength and a recovery in Strategy's STRC preferred stock toward $100, could allow the company to resume Bitcoin purchases more aggressively.

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