Bitcoin ETF Inflows Flip Positive as Market Sees 99.6% Chance Above $60K
Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen a significant shift in recent weeks, with inflows flipping positive after months of outflows.
Last week's net inflow was $33 million, marking a reversal of the downtrend that had defined much of 2026. This follows larger inflows of $75.7 million and $197.4 million in the preceding two weeks in July.
The return of capital into Bitcoin ETFs points to renewed interest from investors who access Bitcoin through traditional financial markets, a segment that tends to be more institutionally driven. Market-implied pricing currently reflects a 99.6% probability of Bitcoin remaining above $60,000 by July 28, 2026.
The price signal reinforces the flow signal, suggesting that at least in the short term, the market sees Bitcoin's downside as structurally limited. However, US inflation data and Federal Reserve communications will be closely watched to determine what comes next for Bitcoin ETF flows and price.