Bitcoin Options Market in Free Fall Amid Weakened Demand
Bitcoin's BVIV, or 'fear gauge', has plummeted to new lows. Despite this, investors are still willing to pay a premium for protection against potential price drops.
The appetite for directional optionality, or bets on big price moves in either direction, has evaporated due to the range-bound market. This is reflected in the decline of demand for Bitcoin options, which has weakened significantly.
However, supply remains elevated as more investors are selling options to market makers. A growing number of market participants, including Bitcoin miners and corporate treasuries, are utilizing systematic overwriting programs that involve writing call options to generate yield on their spot BTC holdings.
This has suppressed volatility by flooding the market with options supply, which is likely accentuated by the midyear lull in prices and a cooling spot market. With fewer traders active during the vacation period, realized volatility has compressed, putting further downward pressure on implied volatility.