Bitcoin Prediction Markets Show Higher Odds for $50K Than $100K in 2026

Bitcoin's (BTC) price trajectory for 2026 is uncertain, according to prediction markets on TradingView. A higher chance of Bitcoin hitting $50,000 than reaching $100,000 in 2026 is what these markets say.

Trader exitpump questioned the odds, pointing out that the FTX collapse's volume-weighted average price (AVWAP) might be a crucial support level for Bitcoin. The trader argued that this retest could mark the beginning of a new market cycle, driven by years of ETF inflows and institutional participation.

CryptoQuant reported on Thursday that over 38,000 BTC flowed into accumulation addresses, with an average acquisition cost near $70,000. This is one of the largest recorded inflows for wallets associated with long-term holders and OTC settlement activity.