Bitcoin Price Prediction Contract Launched by Robinhood Derivatives

The contract for predicting the price of Bitcoin on August 18, 2026 at 6pm EDT has been released by Robinhood Derivatives. The contract is based on the CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) and uses an average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration to determine the outcome.

The payout for this contract will be $1 for every contract owned if the prediction is correct, or close positions before the event resolves with additional fees applying. Persons employed by Source Agencies, or those holding material non-public information on Bitcoin, are prohibited from trading on this contract.

Trading hours for this contract are 24 hours a day, except Thursday from 3am-5am ET, and the contract will resolve its outcome in about an hour after the event date. The price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI).