Bitcoin Price Range Prediction Market Opens at Robinhood

Rather than predicting an exact price for Bitcoin on September 1st, 2026, at 3am EDT, Robinhood's prediction market focuses on a range of possible values.

The contract determines whether the price will be $78,900 or above. The prices used to determine this are based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), with an average calculated from 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration.

Investors can buy contracts that predict a specific price range and earn payouts if their prediction is correct, or close their positions before the event resolves. However, there are restrictions for trading on this contract, including prohibitions for employees of certain agencies and those with material non-public information about Bitcoin.