Bitcoin Volatility Index Crashes to 11-Month Low Amid Persistent Bear Market Fears
The Bitcoin Volatility Index (BVIV) has hit an 11-month low of 35.59%, marking its lowest level since September last year. This decline in volatility comes as the cryptocurrency's price remains stuck within a narrow trading range between $62,000 and $66,000.
According to Griffin Sears, Head of Derivatives at FalconX, this drop in BVIV is due to a supply-demand imbalance in the crypto options market. As Bitcoin's price has been stagnant, demand for directional bets anticipating large price swings has evaporated, while the supply of options has flooded the market through systematic call option selling strategies by mining companies and corporate treasury teams.
However, this decline in volatility does not signal market optimism. Sears noted that put skew remains elevated, indicating that investors are still paying a premium for put options to defend against downside moves, making them more expensive than call options.