Skip to content
Back to Guavy Wire
Crypto

Bitcoin's Bull Trap at $85,000: Analyst Issues Warning

Instruments
BTC
Share

Crypto analyst Sherlock is sounding a warning about Bitcoin's price action around $85,000. According to Sherlock, spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US have been trading below their total break-even cost of approximately $86,000 for 228 consecutive trading sessions.

This has resulted in around $18 billion in unrealized losses for ETF investors, with roughly $3.9 billion still unrecovered despite a 23% price gain over the past 21 trading sessions.

The highest concentration of long-term investor-owned Bitcoins is found at around $85,000, where almost 1.07 million BTC have been purchased between this and $86,000.

Sherlock notes that a daily close above $86,000 for Bitcoin would confirm market absorption of the supply in this region, but until then, institutional investors who have been in a losing position may see this as an opportunity to sell and exit.

More on Crypto

Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment adviser. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

Market sentiment intelligence for apps, funds & agents

Location

729 55 Ave SW
Calgary AB T2V 0G4
Canada

© 2026 Guavy Inc