BTC Price Prediction Contract Launched by Robinhood

Rather than trading actual Bitcoin, investors can predict its price on August 12, 2026 at 9pm EDT through a new contract offered by Robinhood. The contract is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 prices at the last minute before expiration and determines the final value as their average.

The payout will be $1 for every contract owned if the prediction is correct, or investors can close their position before the event resolves. The contract prohibits certain individuals from trading, including those employed by designated agencies with material non-public information on Bitcoin.