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Buffett Remains Behind Berkshire's Billion-Dollar Bets

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Warren Buffett remains firmly in control of Berkshire Hathaway's investment decisions despite stepping down as CEO last December. A $10 billion acquisition of Alphabet shares in Q2 was personally spearheaded by Buffett, who has described market participants as operating with a 'gambling mood' and treating equities like casino bets.

Berkshire's portfolio now lists Alphabet as its third-biggest position, barely surpassing Coca-Cola. The technology giant's market value expanded by approximately $17 billion during Q2, pushing it past Coca-Cola at June 30. However, Alphabet declined 3.5% while Coca-Cola surged 12.1%, narrowing the gap to just $20 million.

Buffett's concerns about market valuations are echoed in the CAPE ratio, which reached a peak of 40.6 in July, a level not seen since September 2000's dot-com bubble. Historically, readings above 40 have preceded average three-year declines of 30% for the S&P 500.

Analysts project S&P 500 constituent companies will deliver 50% earnings expansion in Q2, but whether this growth can sustain current market levels remains uncertain. The CAPE metric relies on historical data and doesn't incorporate prospective earnings trajectories.

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