China Credit Impulse Dives to 2008 Lows: What Does it Mean for Bitcoin?
The China Credit Impulse indicator has fallen to its weakest level since 2008, raising concerns about global growth and risk assets. The Bloomberg China Credit Impulse index recently stood at 20.84 points, based on data from MacroMicro.
This decline can signal tightening financial conditions and weaker future growth. Societe Generale research has linked the indicator to global manufacturing cycles and found that it can lead S&P 500 returns by 12 months.
Despite this warning signal, Bitcoin recently posted a strong rally of 25% in August, briefly moving above $80,000.
Societe Generale strategist Albert Edwards warned that overlooking China's monetary tightening could become a major investment mistake. He said weaker credit creation relative to GDP could point toward a global slowdown, potentially putting pressure on corporate earnings and U.S. equities.