Skip to content
Back to Guavy Wire
Crypto

Ethereum Futures Market Shifts to Conventional Pricing

Instruments
ETH
Share

Ethereum's futures market has changed significantly since its peak in August 2025, when ether set an all-time high of $4,946.

Today, every dated ETH contract from October 2026 to June 2027 on Deribit is priced at an annualised premium between 3.8% and 4.1%, roughly matching the three-month US Treasury yield of 4.00%.

This flat curve suggests that traders are no longer willing to pay a significant premium for future exposure to ether, unlike in 2021 when funding averaged 66% annualised.

The staking reward, which is about 2.3% to 2.7%, is also below the Treasury yield, indicating that holders are not betting on price but rather income.

More on Crypto

Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment adviser. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

Market sentiment intelligence for apps, funds & agents

Location

729 55 Ave SW
Calgary AB T2V 0G4
Canada

© 2026 Guavy Inc