Ethereum Price Prediction Market Launched by Robinhood Derivatives
Robinhood Derivatives has announced a new prediction market contract that focuses on the price of Ethereum. The contract, which resolves on August 27, 2026 at 6pm EDT, is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI).
The RTI prices are collected at the last minute before expiration, and the official and final value is the average of these prices.
According to the contract details, there are various price targets with associated probabilities. For example, the probability of the ETH price being above $2,500 is 69%, while it's 37% for a price above $2,505, and 18% for a price above $2,510.
It's worth noting that trading prohibitions apply to certain individuals, including those employed by CF Benchmarks or who hold material non-public information on Ethereum.
The contract also mentions that event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives through various exchange and clearing companies, including KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC, or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC.