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Fed Rate Hikes and Crypto Legislation Loom Over Bitcoin Rally

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Bitcoin's late-summer rally faces a major test as it grapples with dual pressure from Federal Reserve rate hikes and Congressional voting on crypto legislation. After months of sluggishness, Bitcoin bulls have returned to the market, breaking through $70,000 after hovering near a two-year low of around $60,000 for several months.

The surge in U.S. Treasury yields had briefly eased, and overall market sentiment improved, contributing to the rebound. However, tensions in the Middle East persist, inflation remains elevated, and market expectations for Fed rate hikes are mounting - typically draining liquidity from risk assets.

Analysts say that despite these headwinds, many investors believe Bitcoin has reached its bottom. Strong inflation data has led traders to price in an 85% probability of a rate hike on Wednesday, with long-term U.S. Treasury yields approaching 5%, and capital competition intensifying.

'Bitcoin had already been in oversold territory for some time,' said Matthew Dibb, Chief Operating Officer of Stack Funds. 'Short-term traders are viewing inflation data and interest rate hikes as short-term threats.'

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