FILE Price Prediction: Supply Shock Looms, Resistance Ceiling in Sight

FILE is coiling just below its Bollinger upper band at $0.84, with smart money running a 1.93:1 long ratio. However, the MACD histogram is flatlined at zero, and there's a September regulatory headwind looming.

The token is trading above every short-term moving average that matters, forming a rising support ladder. But momentum has gone limp, with the MACD histogram compressed to zero, signaling buyers are hesitating rather than accelerating.

On October 15th, 2026, the token's vesting program ends, reducing gross FIL issuance by approximately 75%, the largest supply-side structural change since mainnet launch. This is an immovable, date-stamped supply shock that markets are only beginning to price in.