Robinhood Derivatives ETH Price Prediction Market Targets $2,450 or Above
The Ethereum price prediction market on Robinhood Derivatives has set a target for September 1, 2026, at 2am EDT. The contract predicts that the ETH price will be above $2,450 or more specifically, it has the following probability distribution: $2,545 or above at 8¢, $2,510 or above at 6¢, and $2,550 or above at 4¢.
The prediction market uses CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI) to determine the outcome. The final price used is the average of 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration.
Participants can either close their position before the event resolves or hold onto their contract, with payouts usually made within an hour after resolution. However, trading prohibitions apply to certain individuals, including those employed by specified agencies and those holding material non-public information on Ethereum.