Robinhood Derivatives Launches Bitcoin Price Prediction Market

Robinhood Derivatives has launched a prediction market for Bitcoin's price on August 10, 2026 at 7pm EDT. The contract allows users to predict whether the price of BTC will fall within certain ranges, with payouts based on the accuracy of their predictions.

The specified price ranges are $63,900 to $63,999.9999¢, $64,400 to $64,499.997¢, and $63,700 to $63,799.992¢. Users can buy contracts predicting which range will be closest to the actual price at the time of resolution.

The contract uses data from CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) to determine the final value. 60 RTI prices are collected at the last minute before expiration, and the official and final value is the average of these prices.