Robinhood Derivatives Launches Bitcoin Price Prediction Market
Royalty-free prediction markets are being offered by Robinhood Derivatives for Bitcoin's price at a specific date. According to the contract, on August 23rd, 2026, at 4am EDT, traders can place bets on the price of BTC ranging from $76,100 to $76,199.9918¢.
The contract uses CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices, which are collected at the last minute before expiration and averaged for a final value. Payouts will be made within an hour of event resolution.
Trading hours for this contract are 24/7, except on Thursdays from 3am to 5am ET. The contract resolves by determining the outcome of the bet, with winners receiving $1 per contract owned if their prediction is correct.
The trading prohibitions include restrictions for persons employed by Source Agencies and those holding material, non-public information on the underlying asset.