Robinhood Derivatives Launches Bitcoin Price Prediction Market on July 30, 2026

Retail trading platform Robinhood Derivatives has launched a prediction market for the price of Bitcoin on July 30, 2026, at 6pm EDT. The contract will determine whether the price of BTC will be above $64,900 or below.

The official and final value is calculated by averaging 60 Real Time Index prices collected in the last minute before expiration. Participants can earn a payout of up to $1 for every contract they own if their prediction matches the actual price.

According to the terms and conditions, persons employed by certain agencies or holding material non-public information on the underlying asset are not permitted to trade on the contract. Trading prohibitions also apply to futures, options on futures, and cleared swaps.