Robinhood Derivatives Offers Bitcoin Price Prediction Market for August 10, 2026

Robinhood Derivatives is offering a prediction market for the price of Bitcoin on August 10, 2026 at 5am EDT. The platform will provide three possible price ranges: $65,200 to $65,299.9942¢, $65,100 to $65,199.9938¢, and $65,300 to $65,399.9911¢. Users can buy contracts for these predicted prices, with payouts of up to $1 for every contract owned if the prediction is correct.

The prices used for this market will be based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 RTI prices at the last minute before expiration and uses their average as the final value. This is a different source than what may be found on Google or Coinbase, highlighting the importance of verifying price data from multiple sources.

The contract resolution will occur within one hour of the event, with users able to close their positions before then if desired. However, trading prohibitions apply for persons employed by certain agencies and those holding material non-public information on Bitcoin.