Robinhood Derivatives Offers Prediction Market for Bitcoin Price on August 15, 2026
Roland, employed by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, notes that persons who hold material non-public information on Bitcoin (BTC) are not permitted to trade on a specific contract offered through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC. The contract in question is for the price of Bitcoin at 1am EDT on August 15, 2026.
The contract offers payouts based on the price of BTC at the specified time, with prices ranging from $62,900 to $63,300. For instance, if the price of BTC is above $63,000, the payout for owning a contract would be 88 cents per contract owned.
The official and final value used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). The final value is calculated by averaging the prices from 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration. Additional fees apply, and traders should read the full contract terms and conditions.