Robinhood Derivatives Opens Bitcoin Price Prediction Market

The Bitcoin price prediction market on Robinhood Derivatives is open until September 1, 2026, at 2pm EDT. The market determines whether the BTC price will be above certain thresholds on that date and time.

The contract resolutions are based on the Real Time Index (RTI) of CF Benchmarks, which collects 60 prices in the last minute before expiration. The final value is the average of these prices.

If a trader's prediction is correct, they get $1 for every contract owned. However, additional fees apply, and traders can close their positions before the event resolves.