Robinhood Derivatives Sets Bitcoin Price Prediction Market for July 26

The prediction market on Robinhood Derivatives has set its target for Bitcoin's price at a specific moment in time. The contract will resolve on July 26, 2026, at 2am EDT and determines the outcome based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI). Sixty RTI prices are collected at the last minute before expiration, and the official value is the average of these prices.

The price range for Bitcoin has been set between $64,400 to $64,499.9957¢, $64,300 to $64,399.9921¢, and $64,500 to $64,599.9919¢. The contract offers a payout of $1 for every owned contract if the prediction is correct or allows closing positions before the event resolves with additional fees.

Risk warnings are included in the contract terms, stating that persons employed by certain agencies or holding material information on Bitcoin are not permitted to trade. Trading prohibitions and restrictions apply, and users should carefully consider their personal financial circumstances before engaging in futures, options, or cleared swaps trading.