Robinhood ETH Price Prediction Market Aims to Reflect Reality

Rather than predicting Ethereum's (ETH) price at an arbitrary point in time, a prediction market offered by Robinhood is asking traders to bet on the actual price of ETH on August 5, 2026, at 11pm EDT.

The market will use CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) to determine the final value. This index calculates an average price based on 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration.

Those who correctly predict the price of ETH at this time will receive $1 for every contract they own. Traders can also choose to close their positions before the event resolves, but this may incur additional fees.