Robinhood Launches Bitcoin Price Prediction Market for September 2026

A new prediction market has opened on Robinhood for Bitcoin's price on September 8, 2026 at 12am EDT. The contract allows users to predict whether the BTC price will fall within specific ranges. Three possible outcomes are presented: $78,800 to $78,899.9924¢, $78,700 to $78,799.9923¢, and $78,600 to $78,699.9920¢.

The contract resolves on the specified date at 12am EDT, with payouts usually made within an hour of event resolution. The price used for determination is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 prices in the last minute before expiration and averages them to determine the final value.

Users can earn $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct, or close their position before the event resolves. However, trading prohibitions apply to persons employed by certain agencies or holding material non-public information on Bitcoin.