Robinhood Launches BTC Price Prediction Market for August 17, 2026

Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market is offering a contract on the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on August 17, 2026 at 5am EDT. The market is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 prices at the last minute before expiration and uses their average to determine the outcome.

The contract allows users to predict whether the price of BTC will be above $63,300, $63,400, $63,500, or exactly $63,600. The payouts for each level are as follows: 87¢ for a prediction that the price is above $63,300, 33¢ for a prediction that it's above $63,400, and 4¢ for a prediction that it's above $63,500.

The contract resolves in about an hour after the event resolution. The trading hours are 24/7, except for Thursday from 3am-5am ET. Robinhood Derivatives is offering this market through their platform, KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC, or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC.