Robinhood Launches Prediction Market for Bitcoin Price on August 4, 2026

A new prediction market has appeared on Robinhood for the price of Bitcoin on August 4, 2026 at 11am EDT. The contract resolves whether the price will be within a specific range of $64,100 to 64,199.9980¢ or not.

The current live data shows prices ranging from $64,000 to 64,099.995¢ and $63,600 to 63,699.992¢. The payout is usually within an hour of event resolution and contract owners will receive $1 for every correct prediction.

It's worth noting that the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 RTI prices at the last minute before expiration. The official and final value is the average of these prices.