Robinhood Launches Prediction Market for Bitcoin's July Price

A prediction market for Bitcoin's price on July 26, 2026 at 4am EDT is now live on Robinhood. The platform offers a range of possible prices, from $64,300 to $64,599.994¢. Users can choose which range they think the price will fall within and potentially earn $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct.

The prediction market uses CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) to determine the official and final value of Bitcoin's price at the time of expiration. This involves collecting 60 RTI prices in real-time before expiration, with the average being used as the final value.

Users can choose from a range of trading options, including buying or closing their positions before the event resolves. However, there are certain restrictions and eligibility requirements that apply to this market, including prohibitions on employees of Source Agencies and those holding material non-public information on Bitcoin.