Robinhood Launches Prediction Market for Ethereum Price

Roninhood has launched a prediction market for the price of Ethereum on July 24, 2026 at 10am EDT. The contract is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices and will determine the average price used to settle the contract.

The probability of ETH reaching $1,860 or above is 77%, with a payout of 77 cents for every contract owned if correct. The probabilities drop to 58% for $1,865 and 42% for $1,870. There are also smaller probabilities for higher prices up to $1,875.

Futures, options on futures, and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for everyone. Trading restrictions apply, including prohibition for employees of Source Agencies or those with material non-public information on Ethereum.