Robinhood Launches XRP Price Prediction Market for August 2026

The Robinhood Derivatives platform has introduced a prediction market for XRP's price on August 2, 2026 at 2am EDT. The contract will determine if the price of Ripple will meet specific criteria based on CF Benchmarks' Real-Time Index (RTI).

There are four possible outcomes: $1.05991 or above, which has a 99% probability; $1.07991 or above, with a 98% likelihood; $1.09991 or above, where the price must meet the criterion at exactly 2am EDT on August 2, 2026; and a fourth outcome with no specific price target.

The market resolves based on a simple average of the CF Benchmarks index for the 60 seconds prior to the specified time. The contract allows users to buy or close their positions before the event resolves, with additional fees applying.