Robinhood Prediction Market Aims to Forecast Bitcoin Price on August 11, 2026

The prediction market on Robinhood is offering a contract to predict the price of Bitcoin on August 11, 2026 at 10pm EDT. The possible outcomes are between $63,700 and $63,799.9946¢, $63,600 to $63,699.9936¢, and $63,500 to $63,599.9911¢. The contract resolves based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices.

The outcome is verified from CF Benchmarks and the official price used is the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration. If the prediction is correct, owners receive $1 for every contract they own. Additional fees apply.

Robinhood notes that trading prohibitions apply to certain individuals, including those employed by Source Agencies or holding material non-public information on Bitcoin.