Robinhood Prediction Market Aims to Forecast Ethereum Price on September 11, 2026
Roland, et al have created a prediction market on Robinhood for Ethereum's price on Sep 11, 2026 at 8am EDT. The contract allows participants to predict whether ETH will be above or below certain thresholds. At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected from CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). The official and final value is the average of these prices.
Three possible outcomes have been proposed: $2,450 or above, $2,415 or above, and $2,420 or above. There are also 1D and 1WMAX options available. Those who correctly predict the price will receive $1 for every contract they own.
The trading prohibitions include persons employed by certain agencies and those with material, non-public information on Ethereum. Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through several exchanges and have additional fees.