Robinhood Sets Payout Thresholds for Bitcoin Price Prediction Market

The price of Bitcoin on August 22, 2026 at 3pm EDT is set to be determined by Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market. The market offers contracts with specific payout thresholds: $77,200 or above pays out 84¢, while $77,300 or above yields 45¢, and $77,400 or above results in a payout of 13¢. These figures are based on the CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 prices at the last minute before expiration to determine the official price.

The contract resolution is expected within one hour of the event, and participants can choose to close their positions before the outcome is determined. Trading prohibitions apply for certain individuals who hold material non-public information on Bitcoin or are employed by specific agencies.